Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.199912 0.231769 0.267074 0.309108 0.357805 0.412466 0.478509
2025-06-22 0.144652 0.185723 0.236056 0.302306 0.387294 0.492789 0.633908
2025-06-29 0.116517 0.160467 0.218176 0.299566 0.411574 0.560590 0.774444
2025-07-06 0.099003 0.144372 0.207396 0.301441 0.438510 0.631504 0.924885
2025-07-13 0.089590 0.137287 0.206864 0.315900 0.482940 0.730013 1.124894
2025-07-20 0.081143 0.129979 0.204394 0.326237 0.521414 0.823127 1.327475
2025-07-27 0.074063 0.123533 0.201979 0.335667 0.558729 0.917734 1.543016
2025-08-03 0.066860 0.115766 0.196223 0.338509 0.585043 0.996905 1.742066
2025-08-10 0.059589 0.106836 0.187280 0.334547 0.598857 1.056080 1.913266
2025-08-17 0.052318 0.096923 0.175358 0.323691 0.598883 1.090801 2.044448
2025-08-24 0.048810 0.093294 0.173963 0.331331 0.632672 1.188475 2.301041
2025-08-31 0.044937 0.088481 0.169790 0.333159 0.655556 1.268189 2.532495
2025-09-07 0.041910 0.085011 0.167882 0.339385 0.688190 1.371095 2.824172
2025-09-14 0.037658 0.078613 0.159622 0.332138 0.693404 1.421467 3.017230
2025-09-21 0.034370 0.073763 0.153835 0.329122 0.706662 1.489027 3.253517
2025-09-28 0.031942 0.070411 0.150692 0.331183 0.730653 1.581086 3.552886
2025-10-05 0.030981 0.070094 0.153840 0.347078 0.786249 1.746103 4.032468
2025-10-12 0.029689 0.068881 0.154904 0.358442 0.833036 1.897020 4.498469
2025-10-19 0.028408 0.067538 0.155514 0.368809 0.878686 2.050332 4.988611
2025-10-26 0.026705 0.065005 0.153143 0.371934 0.907708 2.168654 5.409592
2025-11-02 0.024655 0.061404 0.147899 0.367578 0.918246 2.244634 5.736057
2025-11-09 0.022331 0.056862 0.139932 0.355643 0.908755 2.271321 5.941954
2025-11-16 0.021412 0.055733 0.140099 0.364042 0.951296 2.430551 6.508013